Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Alcalá		Coria

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.35	2.95	2.8
	2.08	3.2	3.1
	2	3.25	3.47
	2.12	3.21	3.29	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.14	3.24	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.17)	3.12 ↓ (3.17)	3.23 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
42.8%

Draw
29.1%

Coria
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Alcalá - Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Alcalá will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Kone ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Tommy Fernandez ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Nunez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Alcalá has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Coria is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	RSD Alcala	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Alcalá - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.58%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.04.26	Quintanar del Rey - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Fuenlabrada - Alcalá	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Alcalá - Las Palmas B	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWWWW
- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.04.26	Coria - Elche Ilicitano	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Tenerife B - Coria	4:0 ✺
12.04.26	Coria - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Real Madrid C - Coria	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Coria - Socuéllamos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.12.25	Coria - Alcalá	1:1

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