Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 29

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Coria		Socuéllamos

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.5
	1.35	4.35	7.1
	1.35	4.67	8.91
	1.34	4.54	8.24	Watch
	1.36	4	8
	1.42	4.57	6.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.65)	4.41 ↑ (3.5)	7.6 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coria
67.1%

Draw
20.8%

Socuéllamos
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coria's performance.

Socuéllamos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Socuéllamos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Socuéllamos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coria - Socuéllamos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
41', 1 - 0, Gomez S. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Hujo I. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Lopez H. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Coria is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Coria won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Coria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Coria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.03.26	Orihuela - Coria	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Coria - Intercity	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Getafe B - Coria	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Coria - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Colonia Moscardó - Coria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLTL
- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.03.26	Socuéllamos - Quintanar del Rey	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Socuéllamos - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Alcalá - Socuéllamos	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Socuéllamos - Elche Ilicitano	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.11.25	Socuéllamos - Coria	2:0
14.05.23	Coria - Socuéllamos	3:3
15.01.23	Socuéllamos - Coria	0:0

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