The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coria 43.3%
Draw 28.2%
Navalcarnero 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
26.1%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
25.4%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coria's form might have worsened.
Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navalcarnero's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navalcarnero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Coria - Navalcarnero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, de Souza R. ⚽,
23', Dominguez A. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Bautista M. ⚽,
69', Jimenez M. 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 1, Alcon D. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).
Coria is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Navalcarnero's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Navalcarnero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Coria could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Coria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Spain
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