Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Alcalá		Las Rozas

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.5
	1.91	3.3	3.65
	1.9	3.24	3.51
	1.94	3.37	3.61	Watch
	1.86	3.32	3.85
	1.91	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.9)	3.29 ↑ (3.29)	3.63 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcalá
47.6%

Draw
27.5%

Las Rozas
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

29.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Alcalá - Las Rozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
70', 1 - 0, Izan ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, Izan ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 1.

Recent performances by Alcalá have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Las Rozas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alcalá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alcalá might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Canillas - Alcalá	2:5 ✺
26.04.25	Alcalá - Alcorcón B	0:4 ✺
20.04.25	Torrejón - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Alcalá - Cala Pozuelo	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLTWT
- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Las Rozas - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Leganés B - Las Rozas	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Las Rozas - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Carabanchel - Las Rozas	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Las Rozas - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.01.25	Las Rozas - Alcalá	0:0
18.02.24	Alcalá - Las Rozas	1:1
01.10.23	Las Rozas - Alcalá	4:1
12.02.23	Las Rozas - Alcalá	1:2
09.10.22	Alcalá - Las Rozas	0:1
27.02.22	Las Rozas - Alcalá	5:4
30.10.21	Alcalá - Las Rozas	0:1

Upcoming Matches