Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 24

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Alcalá		Siello

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.49	5.61
	1.55	3.51	5.67
	1.51	3.68	6.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.22)	3.56 ↑ (2.9)	5.81 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
59%

Draw
25.4%

Siello
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

30.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.

Siello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siello might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siello than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siello could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Alcalá is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Villanueva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alcalá is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.03.24	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	1:3 ✺
25.02.24	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Alcalá - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Alcalá - Collado Villalba	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Galapagar - Alcalá	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTWT
- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.03.24	Siello - Torrejón	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Alcorcón B - Siello	1:3 ✺
18.02.24	Siello - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Móstoles URJC - Siello	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Siello - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.10.23	Siello - Alcalá	0:1
28.03.21	Alcalá - Siello	1:0

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