Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Siello		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	5.7	3.13	1.64
	5.66	3.44	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↓ (5.85)	3.32 ↓ (4)	1.6 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siello
16.1%

Draw
27.3%

Real Madrid C
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

22.6%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

22.1%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siello than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Villanueva is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Madrid C is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Madrid C could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Madrid C is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villanueva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siello FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.02.24	Móstoles URJC - Siello	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Siello - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Paracuellos Antamira - Siello	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Tres Cantos - Siello	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Siello - Canillas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTL
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.02.24	Real Madrid C - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Trival Valderas - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Real Madrid C - Las Rozas	6:0 ✺
21.01.24	Real Madrid C - Collado Villalba	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Galapagar - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.10.23	Real Madrid C - Siello	3:0

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