Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Alcantarilla		Águilas B

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.46
	5.8	4.2	1.45
	4.63	4.54	1.49
	5.49	4.58	1.45	Watch
	6.96	4.33	1.38
	5.8	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↓ (9.13)	4.36 ↑ (4.35)	1.45 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcantarilla
16.2%

Draw
20.9%

Águilas B
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10%

21%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.6%

20.2%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcantarilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcantarilla's performance.

Águilas B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águilas B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcantarilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas B than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águilas B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcantarilla - Águilas B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Lopez P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Marin M. (Pen),
66', 2 - 1, Ndiaye M. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Alcantarilla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Águilas B is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Águilas B is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcantarilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
27.04.25	Lorca Deportiva - Alcantarilla	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Alcantarilla - Santomera	1:4 ✺
13.04.25	UCAM Murcia B - Alcantarilla	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alcantarilla - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Cartagena B - Alcantarilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.6 LLTWW
- Águilas FC B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
27.04.25	Águilas B - Caravaca	4:1 ✺
20.04.25	Minerva - Águilas B	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Águilas B - Muleño	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	El Palmar - Águilas B	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Águilas B - Plus Ultra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.12.24	Águilas B - Alcantarilla	5:0

Alcantarilla - Águilas B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide