Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday


	Alcione		Prato

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.4
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.34	2.95	2.75
	2.5	2.63	3.03
	2.35	2.88	2.8
	2.38	3.18	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.77)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	2.76 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
36.8%

Draw
30.7%

Prato
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.8%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

21.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Prato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Prato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Prato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcione - Prato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Recent matches Alcione is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Prato is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Prato have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.01.22	Forlì - Alcione	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Sasso Marconi - Alcione	1:2 ✺
22.12.21	Alcione - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
18.12.21	Lentigione - Alcione	4:0 ✺
12.12.21	Alcione - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL
- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.01.22	Prato - Rimini	0:1 ✺
23.01.22	Prato - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
16.01.22	Prato - Follonica Gavorrano	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
22.12.21	Aglianese - Prato	2:0 ✺
18.12.21	Prato - Correggese	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL

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