The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lentigione 60.2%
Draw 23.5%
Alcione 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
21.3%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.5%
17.4%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lentigione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).
Lentigione is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Alcione is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alcione could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Lentigione is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Lentigione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Lentigione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.