Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Sasso Marconi		Alcione

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.65
	2.35	3.2	2.65
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.41	3.05	2.71
	2.39	3.4	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.4)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sasso Marconi
37.9%

Draw
28.4%

Alcione
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

21.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sasso Marconi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sasso Marconi - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).

Sasso Marconi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alcione is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
22.12.21	Rimini - Sasso Marconi	3:0 ✺
18.12.21	Sasso Marconi - Aglianese	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Correggese - Sasso Marconi	3:2 ✺
08.12.21	Sasso Marconi - Cavenago Fanfulla	0:3 ✺
05.12.21	Real Forte Querceta - Sasso Marconi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
22.12.21	Alcione - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
18.12.21	Lentigione - Alcione	4:0 ✺
12.12.21	Alcione - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:2 ✺
08.12.21	Seravezza Pozzi - Alcione	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Alcione - Rimini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWL

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