Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Alcione		Tritium

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.23	2.88	2.93
	2.34	2.84	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.04)	2.91 ↓ (3.3)	3.07 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
39.8%

Draw
30.9%

Tritium
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

21%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.

Tritium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tritium than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tritium, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcione - Tritium Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alcione is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tritium has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcione will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.02.22	Sammaurese - Alcione	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Alcione - Prato	0:3 ✺
30.01.22	Forlì - Alcione	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Sasso Marconi - Alcione	1:2 ✺
22.12.21	Alcione - Bagnolese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWW
- Tritium
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.02.22	Tritium - Rimini	0:3 ✺
02.02.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Tritium	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Tritium - Aglianese	2:2 ✺
22.12.21	Correggese - Tritium	1:0 ✺
18.12.21	Tritium - Real Forte Querceta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
06.10.21	Tritium - Alcione	2:1

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