Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcorcón		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.25
	2.15	2.85	3.2
	2.18	2.6	3.15
	2.25	2.84	3.43	Watch
	2.26	2.8	3.54
	2.18	2.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.14)	2.76 ↓ (3.26)	3.29 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
40.5%

Draw
32.3%

Fuenlabrada
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Josele (G) 15. Manrique C. 5. Rentero J. 4. Rojas J. 27. Santiago A. 30. Rodriguez S. 10. Rodriguez R. 23. Navarro D. 12. Nunez J. 14. da Costa M. 11. Kopotun V.	1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 5. Alba D. 4. Mauro M. 6. Alvaro Garcia 8. Ruiz Fer 16. Aguza S. 15. Moyano A. 14. Barbosa A. 7. Manu 9. Omoigui C.
Substitutes
6. Alonso I. 7. Aparicio E. 1. Ayesa G. (G) 8. Ballesteros Y. 16. Capitas M. 34. Garcia I. . Heidari A. 17. Navarro S. 33. Pastor V. 18. Stitch	3. Barbu 13. Bloch F. (G) 20. Casas I. 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 10. Galindo A. 22. Javi Curras 21. Nene

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Ouacharaf B. 🟨,
33', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, Nunez J. ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, Moyano A. ⚽,
73', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Casas I. ↑,
74', Rojas J. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
74', Nunez J. ↓, Ballesteros Y. ↑,
79', Aguza S. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Kopotun V. (Pen),
85', Ruiz Fer ↓, Javi Curras ↑,
85', Mauro M. ↓, Faure I. ↑,
90+1', Alvaro Garcia 🟨,
90+6', Javi Curras 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Alcorcón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:17 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.01.25	Marbella - Alcorcón	3:3 ✺
22.12.24	Alcorcón - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Alcorcón - Antequera	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Intercity - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWLW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.01.25	Fuenlabrada - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Mérida AD - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Sevilla B - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
29.11.24	Fuenlabrada - Betis B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.09.24	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	0:0
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	2:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.03.23	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	0:4
03.12.22	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
20.02.22	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	2:2
21.08.21	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	0:2
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	1:2

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