Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Fuenlabrada		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.7	2.55
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.95	2.8	2.6
	3	2.8	2.67
	2.93	2.78	2.58	Watch
	2.85	2.91	2.53
	2.95	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.85)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	2.58 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
31.6%

Draw
32.8%

Real Murcia
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

32.4%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Fuenlabrada - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 5. Alba D. 6. Alvaro Garcia 3. Barbu 15. Moyano A. 10. Galindo A. 22. Javi Curras 18. Sangare L. 11. Abde 19. Faure I.	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 2. Mier J. 6. Gonzalez A. 4. Saveljich E. 21. Cadete 14. Leon P. 15. Yriarte J. 22. Juan Carlos 16. Boateng R. 7. Buron L. 9. Benito P. A. P.
Substitutes
16. Aguza S. 13. Bloch F. (G) 23. Chang-Sang J. 7. Manu 26. Marcos 4. Mauro M. 21. Nene 9. Omoigui C. 28. Sanchez R. 39. Sevillano D.	11. Carrillo J. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 20. Knight B. 8. Larrea P. 29. Matheus Cadorini 30. Palmberg 13. Piedra I. (G) 12. Raul A. 17. Rojas C. 19. Soler K. 27. Toral A. 18. Vicente D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Javi Curras 🟨,
37', Ouacharaf B. 🟨,
40', Abde 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Raul A. ↑,
58', Leon P. ↓, Rojas C. ↑,
59', Sangare L. 🟨,
64', Sangare L. ↓, Manu ↑,
69', Javi Curras ↓, Nene ↑,
73', 🟨,
74', Mier J. ↓, Vicente D. ↑,
83', Buron L. ↓, Toral A. ↑,
83', Boateng R. ↓, Larrea P. ↑,
84', 🟨,
85', Faure I. ↓, Mauro M. ↑,
85', Galindo A. ↓, Aguza S. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Now both teams are in good shape.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Last Results with these Odds

Real Murcia - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.85%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.24	Sevilla B - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
29.11.24	Fuenlabrada - Betis B	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Intercity - Fuenlabrada	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Fuenlabrada - Hércules	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWTWW
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.24	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Ibiza - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
16.11.24	Algeciras - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.16	Real Murcia - Fuenlabrada	3:0

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