Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Marbella		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.05	3.1	3.45
	2.11	3.1	3.73
	2.16	3.20	3.31	Watch
	2.08	3.02	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.13)	3.1 ↑ (3.03)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
44%

Draw
29.6%

Alcorcón
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.9%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Marbella - Alcorcón Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vassilev D. (G) 15. Gabri 24. Vanheusden Z. 3. Martinez A. 12. Fattore V. 20. Cambra J. 16. Ruiz A. 8. Eugeni 19. Ohemeng E. 9. Rodri (C) 10. Luis Alcalde	1. Ayesa G. (G) 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 19. Pola J. 4. Rojas J. 3. Nieto S. 22. Blanco R. 18. Aguado T. 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 21. Llorente R. 11. Kopotun V. 14. Vacas L.
Substitutes
5. Acosta L. 17. Alexiel 2. Alvarez J. 11. Boussefiane H. 23. Escassi A. 1. Garcia M. (G) 6. Lopez A. 25. Munoz L. 21. Palacin P. 22. Toper	17. Lanchi 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 6. Perez I. 24. Perez L. 15. Rodriguez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Llorente R. ⚽, Blanco R. (A),
38', Ruiz A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Luis Alcalde ⚽, Cambra J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
58', Ruiz A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
58', Vanheusden Z. ↓, Escassi A. ↑,
58', Fattore V. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
68', Eugeni 🟨,
70', Pola J. 🟨,
72', Eugeni ↓, Munoz L. ↑,
76', Vacas L. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
76', Llorente R. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
80', Martinez A. 🟨,
82', Ohemeng E. ↓, Boussefiane H. ↑,
84', Gabri 🟨,
87', Navarro D. 🟨,
89', Rojas J. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Kopotun V. ⚽,
90+7', Nieto S. 🟨,
90+8', Blanco R. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
90+8', Nieto S. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
90+9', 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).

Marbella has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Alcorcón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marbella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marbella is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marbella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Marbella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.11.25	Teruel - Marbella	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Marbella - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Antequera - Marbella	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Marbella - Eldense	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	CE Europa - Marbella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.10.25	Alcorcón - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Alcorcón - Sabadell	0:3 ✺
12.10.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.05.25	Alcorcón - Marbella	3:1
12.01.25	Marbella - Alcorcón	3:3

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