Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Deportivo A Coruña		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.05	3.2	Watch
	2.32	3.2	2.92	Watch
	2.38	3.28	3.22
	2.37	3.37	3	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.8
	2.31	3.16	3.43	Watch
	2.36	3.14	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.11)	3.2 ↓ (3.74)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
40.1%

Draw
29.4%

Castellón
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Deportivo (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo A Coruña will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo A Coruña will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parreno G. (G) 15. Loureiro M. 4. Noubi L. 5. Barcia D. 12. Quagliata G. 11. Mella D. 8. Villares D. 20. Jurado J. 21. Soriano M. 22. Stoichkov 10. Hernandez Y.	13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 12. Alcazar 8. Barri 15. Gerenabarrena B. 7. Mabil A. 21. Calatrava A. 18. Santiago P. 9. Camara O.
Substitutes
3. Comas A. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 27. Fernandez S. 16. Gragera J. 17. Herrera C. 35. Lopez R. 7. Mulattieri S. 6. Patino C. 13. Puerto E. (G)	1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 3. Brignani F. 16. Cipenga B. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 14. Gil O. 23. Mamah K. 20. Markanich N. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 10. Suero I. 26. Tincho
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Hernandez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Alcazar 🟨,
26', Stoichkov 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Hernandez Y. ⚽, Stoichkov (A),
37', Jurado J. 🟨,
45+2', Mabil A. 🟨,
45+2', Quagliata G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Santiago P. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
63', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
63', Alcazar ↓, Doue M. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Doue M. ⚽, Barri (A),
65', Stoichkov ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
69', Mellot J. 🟨,
70', Jurado J. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
70', Villares D. ↓, Patino C. ↑,
71', Matthys R. 🟨,
77', Camara O. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
79', Mabil A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Brignani F. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
81', Quagliata G. ↓, Herrera C. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Cipenga B. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
90+6', Noubi L. 🟥,
90+7', Barri 🟨,
90+7', Suero I. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 3.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Deportivo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury) Cruz Luismi (Thigh Injury) Escudero S. (Injury) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 2.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Córdoba - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Castellón - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	FC Andorra - Castellón	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	5:4 ✺
10.11.25	Burgos - Castellón	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.03.25	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2
19.12.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	5:1
Primera RFEF Play Offs
02.06.24	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:4
29.05.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.06.23	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	4:3 ET
04.06.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:0

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