Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Castellón		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.45	2.75	2.95
	2.45	2.67	3.63
	2.5	2.7	3
	2.4	2.77	3.36
	2.35	2.8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.59)	2.74 ↓ (2.88)	3.2 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
38%

Draw
33.4%

Alcorcón
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

32.6%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcorcón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Castellón - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vacas A. P. (G) 16. Sanchez M. 18. Indias I. 2. Granero B. 17. Ruiz S. 3. Kochorashvili G. 8. Salvador C. (C) 20. De Leon J. 6. Rodriguez C. 10. Kone K. A. 21. de Miguel J.	1. Ruiz Suarez J. (G) 17. Garcia V. 2. Castro Urdin J. 6. Babin J. 3. Morillas D. 19. Gomez E. 8. Moyano A. 5. Mosquera P. 15. Lara J. 18. Garcia P. 9. Borrego C.
Substitutes
4. Anton J. 5. Baas R. 23. Calavera J. 9. Cubillas D. 12. Fabricio 11. Fuentes A. 24. Garcia Custodio P. (G) 14. Gil O. 19. Hernandez P. 22. Sanchez R. 13. Sarr C. (G) 7. Suero I.	36. Addai E. 11. Berto 7. Bustos A. 23. Dalmau A. 22. Jimenez J. 10. Juanma Bravo 14. Lopez A. 20. Lopez I. 13. Prieto A. (G) 16. Ribelles J. 4. Rivas Viondi O.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Castellón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcorcón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcorcón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.06.23	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	4:3 ET ✺
04.06.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.05.23	Real Sociedad B - Castellón	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Castellón - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Real Murcia - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTT
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.06.23	Alcorcón - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Real Sociedad B - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
27.05.23	Alcorcón - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	San Fernando - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
14.05.23	Alcorcón - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.04.21	Alcorcón - Castellón	2:1
24.11.20	Castellón - Alcorcón	0:2

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