Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)


	Alcorcón		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.88	2.75
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.55	2.7	2.9
	2.55	2.8	2.8
	2.82	2.76	2.94
	2.63	2.82	2.79
	2.55	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.26)	2.78 ↓ (2.88)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
35%

Draw
32.8%

Deportivo A Coruña
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

31.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

33.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-5%)

Alcorcón - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1.

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.01.23	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.12.22	Ferrol - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Alcorcón - Córdoba	3:0 ✺
06.12.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Ceuta - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
06.12.22	Badajoz - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.02.20	Alcorcón - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1
23.11.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Alcorcón	0:0
04.03.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Alcorcón	2:2
15.09.18	Alcorcón - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0
23.02.14	Alcorcón - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2
22.09.13	Deportivo A Coruña - Alcorcón	1:0
02.03.12	Deportivo A Coruña - Alcorcón	2:1

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