Match Info

Date: 26 October 2020, Monday


	Alcorcón		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	3	2.7	2.75	Watch
	3	2.65	2.75
	2.95	2.7	2.85	Watch
	2.95	2.6	2.8
	3.2	2.61	3.01
	3	2.62	2.8	Watch
	3.13	2.66	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.98)	2.65 ↓ (2.69)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
31.1%

Draw
35.6%

Mallorca
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

34.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

24.6%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mallorca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	36.1%	41.7%

Alcorcón - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). Mallorca will win (votes: 15 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 36.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 25.6% – 57.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Alcorcón has a chance of relegated (22%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Mallorca has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mallorca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mallorca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
10.10.20	Espanyol - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Málaga - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Alcorcón - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
13.09.20	Mirandés - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWT
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga2
22.10.20	Mallorca - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Mirandés - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Lugo - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Mallorca - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
27.09.20	Mallorca - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.02.19	Mallorca - Alcorcón	2:0
31.08.18	Alcorcón - Mallorca	1:0
Club Friendly
11.08.18	Mallorca - Alcorcón	3:2
Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.17	Alcorcón - Mallorca	1:0
23.10.16	Mallorca - Alcorcón	1:0
23.01.16	Mallorca - Alcorcón	1:0
22.08.15	Alcorcón - Mallorca	2:0

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