Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 24

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Alcorcón		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.55	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.55
	3	2.85	2.6	Watch
	3.05	2.84	2.74
	3.22	2.84	2.75
	2.8	3	2.45
	3	2.99	2.6	Watch
	3	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.88 ↓ (2.94)	2.6 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
31.3%

Draw
32.6%

Zaragoza
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

32.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

33.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Alcorcón - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Anacker L. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 19. Quintilla X. 16. Perez J. 18. Eteki Y. 15. Lara J. 17. Garcia V. 21. Obieta K. 22. Artola J.	25. Badia E. (G) 18. Gamez F. 15. Mourino S. 24. Lopez L. 6. Frances A. 14. Francho 8. Aguado M. 5. Grau J. 20. Mollejo V. 11. Mesa M. 9. Azon I.
Substitutes
26. Addai E. 6. Babin J. 9. Borrego C. 29. Callis E. 23. Chema 28. Garrido J. 10. Juanma Bravo 14. Lopez A. 3. Morillas D. 5. Mosquera P. 1. Ruiz J. (G) 11. Sousa D.	10. Bermejo 38. Borge A. 34. Cuenca M. A. 23. Enrich S. 3. Jair 22. Lecoeuche Q. 39. Manas A. 13. Poussin G. (G) 35. Rebollo D. (G) 19. Vallejo M. 26. Vaquero
Coaches
Nafti M.	Velazquez J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 4.

Alcorcón is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Zaragoza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
20.01.24	Albacete Balompié - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Alcorcón - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.24	Alcorcón - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Alcorcón - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WTTWW
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
20.01.24	Zaragoza - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
15.01.24	Eldense - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
20.12.23	Zaragoza - Levante	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Amorebieta - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Espanyol - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.10.23	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:2
08.05.22	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:3
05.09.21	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	1:2
22.02.21	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.21	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.20	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	0:0
13.06.20	Zaragoza - Alcorcón	1:3

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