The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugo 29%
Draw 33.4%
Mallorca 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
32.4%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
23.5%
51%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mallorca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugo - Mallorca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Lugo has a chance of relegated (38%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mallorca has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Lugo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mallorca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Lugo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.
Watch
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