Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 32

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)


	Alcorcón		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.9	2.2	Watch
	3.4	2.87	2.2
	3.4	2.95	2.3	Watch
	3.82	2.94	2.33
	3.82	2.92	2.33
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.71	2.94	2.26	Watch
	3.45	2.95	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.57)	2.95 ↓ (3.06)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
26.2%

Draw
32%

Real Oviedo
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

31.2%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

30.9%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	35%	45%

Alcorcón - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Oviedo will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 4. Rivas Viondi O. 3. Morillas D. 20. Lopez I. 23. Chema 17. Garcia V. 26. Addai E. 16. Perez J. 18. Eteki Y. 9. Borrego C. 8. Rodriganez J.	31. Roman L. (G) 7. Viti 5. Luismi 12. Calvo D. 23. Bretones A. 6. Jimmy Suarez (C) 11. Colombatto S. 18. de la Fuente P. 8. Cazorla S. 17. Moyano F. 14. Alemao
Substitutes
13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 6. Babin J. 24. Bilbao I. 2. Castro J. 14. Fede 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 5. Mosquera P. 21. Obieta K. 19. Quintilla X. 11. Sousa D.	24. Ahijado L. 9. Baston B. 1. Braat Q. (G) 22. Dubasin J. 13. Homenchenko S. 20. Masca 19. Millan A. 21. Pomares C. 25. Sanchez B. 16. Seoane J. 35. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Nafti M.	Carrion L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Bretones A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', de la Fuente P. ↓, Masca ↑,
65', Addai E. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
69', Moyano F. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
69', Cazorla S. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
69', Eteki Y. 🟨,
73', Borrego C. ↓, Fede ↑,
73', Rodriganez J. ↓, Mosquera P. ↑,
73', Eteki Y. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Mosquera P. ⚽, Fede (A),
81', Alemao ↓, Baston B. ↑,
81', Jimmy Suarez ↓, Dubasin J. ↑,
88', Obieta K. 🟨,
90', Garcia V. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
90+4', Seoane J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 0.

Alcorcón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oviedo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oviedo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
16.03.24	Sporting de Gijón - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
04.03.24	Elche - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Alcorcón - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Leganés - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLTL
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
16.03.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Albacete Balompié - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Real Oviedo - Levante	3:2 ✺
23.02.24	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Real Oviedo - Burgos	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	2:0
24.04.22	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:2
05.12.21	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	3:1
30.03.21	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:1
03.12.20	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	1:1
15.02.20	Real Oviedo - Alcorcón	1:2
06.12.19	Alcorcón - Real Oviedo	1:3

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