Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 30

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)


	Alcorcón		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.9	2.2	Watch
	3.5	2.87	2.15
	3.75	3	2.15	Watch
	4.01	3	2.25
	4.01	3	2.25
	3.72	3.08	2.18	Watch
	3.6	2.95	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4.5)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	2.2 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
25.1%

Draw
31.8%

Espanyol
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

28.2%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

27.9%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espanyol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espanyol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Alcorcón - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Anacker L. (G) 2. Castro J. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 23. Chema 3. Morillas D. 17. Garcia V. 16. Perez J. 18. Eteki Y. 8. Rodriganez J. 9. Borrego C. 15. Lara J.	1. Garcia J. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 3. Gomez S. 4. Ruiz V. 6. Cabrera L. 7. Puado J. 15. Gragera J. 8. Bare K. 19. Sanchez S. 22. Braithwaite M. 9. Balde K.
Substitutes
26. Addai E. 22. Artola J. 6. Babin J. 24. Bilbao I. 29. Callis E. 14. Fede 10. Juanma Bravo 5. Mosquera P. 21. Obieta K. 19. Quintilla X. 1. Ruiz J. (G) 33. Sanca M.	18. Aguado A. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 2. Gil O. 40. Gomez A. 17. Jofre 16. Lazo J. 10. Lozano P. 11. Milla P. 14. Olivan B. 13. Pacheco F. (G) 24. Sanchez R. 39. Valles G.
Coaches
Nafti M.	Ramis L. M.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 2.

Alcorcón is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Espanyol is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Espanyol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Espanyol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
04.03.24	Elche - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Alcorcón - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Leganés - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Alcorcón - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Huesca - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWL
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.24	Espanyol - Huesca	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Eibar - Espanyol	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Espanyol - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Racing Santander - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Espanyol - Levante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.23	Espanyol - Alcorcón	2:0
30.05.21	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:0
10.10.20	Espanyol - Alcorcón	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.16	Espanyol - Alcorcón	1:2 penalties
29.11.16	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:1
15.01.14	Espanyol - Alcorcón	4:2
08.01.14	Alcorcón - Espanyol	1:0

Upcoming Matches