Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alcoyano		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.78	3.1
	2.48	2.69	3.39
	2.4	2.77	3.22	Watch
	2.45	2.63	3
	2.4	2.66	3.28
	2.4	2.66	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.5)	2.7 ↓ (2.9)	3.22 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
37.9%

Draw
33.8%

Atlético Baleares
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

32.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcoyano won 1.

In recent matches, Alcoyano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baleares is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alcoyano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alcoyano has had a series of away games.

Alcoyano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alcoyano won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcoyano won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 0.7:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Alcoyano	5	3	1	1	6:4	2	10
13	Baleares	5	1	2	2	6:9	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Alcoyano - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Club Friendly
11.02.26	Liepāja - Alcoyano	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.02.26	Poblense - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Valencia B - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Alcoyano - Olot	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Barbastro - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLLT
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.02.26	Atlético Baleares - Valencia B	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Castellon B - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Baleares - Torrent	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Girona B - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Atlético Baleares - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.10.25	Atlético Baleares - Alcoyano	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.03.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	1:1
03.12.23	Atlético Baleares - Alcoyano	2:1
09.04.23	Atlético Baleares - Alcoyano	3:2
02.10.22	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	2:1
06.03.22	Atlético Baleares - Alcoyano	2:1
13.11.21	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	0:0

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