Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Girona B		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.15	2.2
	2.91	3.3	2.27	Watch
	2.94	3.13	2.28
	2.85	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)	2.27 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona B
31.4%

Draw
28.5%

Atlético Baleares
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

26.7%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-1%)

Girona B - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Castell G. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Katsushima S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Girona B has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baleares's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Girona B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Baleares	5	1	2	2	6:9	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Baleares - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.01%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.01.26	Poblense - Girona B	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Girona B - Espanyol B	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Alcoyano - Girona B	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Girona B - Castellon B	7:3 ✺
07.12.25	Valencia B - Girona B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.01.26	Atlético Baleares - Barbastro	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Olot - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Barcelona B	4:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.12.25	Terrassa - Atlético Baleares	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.11.25	Atlético Baleares - Girona B	2:2

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