Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alcoyano		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.15	5.15
	1.48	4.32	5.53	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.45	4.15	5.91
	1.47	4.25	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.36)	4.15 ↓ (4.4)	5.57 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
61.9%

Draw
21.8%

Castellon B
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

18.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcoyano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Alcoyano - Castellon B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alcoyano will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Alcoyano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Castellon B is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Castellon B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alcoyano is considered a favorite.

We predict that Alcoyano will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcoyano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Castellon B	5	4	0	1	12:5	7	12
4	Alcoyano	5	3	1	1	6:4	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.01.26	Torrent - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Alcoyano - Girona B	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Espanyol B - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Alcoyano - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Terrassa - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWT
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
04.01.26	Castellon B - Andratx	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sant Andreu - Castellon B	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Girona B - Castellon B	7:3 ✺
06.12.25	Castellon B - Barbastro	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Olot - Castellon B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
28.09.25	Castellon B - Alcoyano	4:1

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