Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 3

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcoyano		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.7	2.7	2.65
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.81	2.7	2.96
	2.74	2.79	2.74	Watch
	2.74	2.69	2.88
	2.75	2.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.49)	2.75 ↓ (3.09)	2.78 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
33.6%

Draw
33.3%

Real Murcia
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.5%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Alcoyano - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (G) 14. Anton J. 2. Ferriz P. 12. Granero B. 18. Atienza P. 22. Rojo J. 23. Pastrana V. 20. Undabarrena E. 6. Garcia I. 11. Ferni 9. Niang M.	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 6. Gonzalez A. 21. Cadete 11. Carrillo J. 15. Yriarte J. 22. Juan Carlos 8. Larrea P. 7. Buron L. 9. Benito P. A. P.
Substitutes
5. Albisua H. 21. Cellou M. 4. Farru 25. Ferrer M. (G) 7. Herrera C. 10. Lara J. A. 17. Lopez S. 19. Losada M. 8. Molina D. 15. Morgado P. 3. Rodriguez A. 13. Valens J. (G)	16. Boateng R. 20. Knight B. 14. Leon P. 23. Lopez A. 2. Mier J. 24. Moha Moukhliss 26. Perez H. 13. Piedra I. (G) 12. Raul A. 17. Rojas C. 4. Saveljich E. 19. Soler K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Ferriz P. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Juan Carlos (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Juan Carlos 🟨,
50', 0 - 2, Cadete ⚽,
53', Ferriz P. ↓, Lara J. A. ↑,
53', Rojo J. ↓, Farru ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Carrillo J. ⚽,
65', Juan Carlos ↓, Raul A. ↑,
70', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Moha Moukhliss ↑,
70', Carrillo J. ↓, Saveljich E. ↑,
79', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 0.

Alcoyano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murcia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.08.24	Recreativo Huelva - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Alcoyano - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	La Nucía - Alcoyano	0:3 ✺
07.08.24	Alcoyano - Águilas	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Alcoyano - Benidorm	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWWT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.09.24	Real Murcia - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Sevilla B - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Hércules - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Real Murcia - Melilla	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Águilas - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.02.24	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	2:3
01.10.23	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	0:0
20.05.23	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	1:2
04.12.22	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	1:0
Club Friendly
18.08.18	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	1:0
05.08.17	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	0:1
13.08.16	Real Murcia - Alcoyano	2:3

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