The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sevilla B 21%
Draw 30%
Real Murcia 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
30.9%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
29.9%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sevilla B - Real Murcia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Flores A. (G) 39. da Silva A. 4. Munoz I. 3. Lopez D. 2. Moreno J. 8. Altozano E. 6. Rivera P. 10. Collado A. 15. Pedraza J. 31. Alcaide E. 9. Costa A.
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 15. Gil O. 4. Garcia H. J. 3. Romero C. 18. Vicente D. 34. Sanchez J. G. 27. Yoldi A. 12. Joao Pedro Palmberg 19. Jorquera Romero J. 17. Narro V. 23. Bosilj D.
Substitutes
37. Arenas M. 29. Bornes P. 21. Cortez J. . Cruz J. 34. Diaz M. 24. Espineira A. . Lociga F. 25. Luchino L. (G) . Ortiz H. 1. Romero R. (G) 17. Sow I.
9. Benito P. A. P. 11. Bustos A. 21. Djanbou S. 10. Gomez I. 22. Juan Carlos 14. Leon P. 7. Moyita S. 8. Ortuno J. 13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 20. Zenitagoia E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Sanchez J. G. 🟨,
23', Narro V. 🟨,
45+2', da Silva A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Narro V. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Bosilj D. ⚽,
57', da Silva A. 🟨,
60', Costa A. ↓, Bornes P. ↑,
62', Yoldi A. ↓, Moyita S. ↑,
66', Moreno J. 🟨,
69', Alcaide E. ↓, Sow I. ↑,
69', Pedraza J. ↓, Lociga F. ↑,
75', Moreno J. ↓, Cortez J. ↑,
75', Lopez D. ↓, Arenas M. ↑,
81', Bosilj D. ↓, Zenitagoia E. ↑,
83', Joao Pedro Palmberg 🟨,
89', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
89', Joao Pedro Palmberg ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
90+1', Zenitagoia E. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla B won 1.
Sevilla B is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Murcia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Murcia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sevilla B won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Murcia
6
4
0
2
10:7
3
12
Last Results with these Odds
Real Murcia - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.67%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Spain
Switzerland
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Flores A. (G) 
da Silva A. 
Gazzaniga G. (G) 
Joao Pedro Palmberg 
Bosilj D. 
Cortez J. 
Sow I. 
Djanbou S. 
