Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)


	Alcoyano		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	1.98	2.75	3.9
	2.1	2.7	3.8
	2.12	2.77	4.48
	2	2.94	4.25
	2.05	2.85	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.52)	2.84 ↑ (2.7)	3.96 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
44.7%

Draw
32.2%

SD Logroñés
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

33.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

35.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcoyano's performance.

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcoyano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcoyano - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 7).

Alcoyano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SD Logroñés is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SD Logroñés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcoyano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.03.23	Castellón - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Alcoyano - Intercity	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Barcelona B - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	Alcoyano - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Calahorra - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLTT
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.03.23	SD Logroñés - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Cornellà - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	SD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	La Nucía - SD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	SD Logroñés - UD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.08.22	SD Logroñés - Alcoyano	0:1

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