Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Alcoyano		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.33
	1.85	3	4
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.97	3.17	4.55
	1.89	3.17	4.55
	1.91	3.08	4.35
	1.9	3.05	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)	3.1 (3.1)	4.28 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
48.6%

Draw
29.9%

San Fernando
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

29.4%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for San Fernando have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Alcoyano - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Valens J. (G) 17. Lopez S. 4. Vega A. 2. Ferriz P. 16. Farru 23. de Palmas R. 6. Garcia I. 8. Juanan 5. Albisua H. 10. Aguero 21. Lara J. A.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 3. Ruiz L. 7. Biabiany J. 10. Ramos D. 20. Masogo A. 6. Molina D. 16. Herrera C. 9. Ribeiro
Substitutes
25. Ferrer M. 11. Ganet P. 27. Herrada A. 15. Jimenez J. 3. Nieto S. 1. Perales J. (G) 9. Pradera M. 12. Selma D.	13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 22. Davila Y. 14. Fullana F. 26. Herrera M. 19. Martinez P. 18. Naveira U. 15. Ruiz V. 17. Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Masogo A. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Lara J. A. (Pen),
32', Lopez S. 🟨,
33', Garcia I. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ruiz L. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,
47', Ferriz P. 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Ruiz V. ⚽,
59', Ruiz V. 🟨,
61', de Palmas R. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,
66', Masogo A. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
68', Ferriz P. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
68', Albisua H. ↓, Armental A. ↑,
73', Biabiany J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
73', Ramos D. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
82', Juanan ↓, Pradera M. ↑,
87', Lillo ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
90+5', Vega A. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 15).

Alcoyano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcoyano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcoyano is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.03.24	Antequera - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Mérida AD - Alcoyano	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	Alcoyano - Castellón	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWWT
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
31.03.24	San Fernando - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Córdoba - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Baleares - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	San Fernando - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Castellón - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.23	San Fernando - Alcoyano	0:3
19.03.22	San Fernando - Alcoyano	0:0
02.10.21	Alcoyano - San Fernando	0:2

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