Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	San Fernando		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	4	2.88	1.91
	3.75	2.95	1.95
	4	3	2
	3.96	3.07	2.06
	3.96	3.07	2.06
	3.94	3.13	1.98
	3.85	3.05	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.26)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	1.99 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
23.4%

Draw
30.4%

Ibiza
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

29.1%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

28.1%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Fernando - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Lillo 5. Blanco C. 23. Ramirez J. 3. Ruiz L. 7. Biabiany J. 10. Ramos D. 6. Molina D. 20. Masogo A. 16. Herrera C. 9. Ribeiro	1. Reynet B. (G) 17. Medina U. 22. Pepe 4. Bobadilla P. 5. Jimenez J. 21. Eugeni 16. Olabe R. 19. Soko P. 14. Gallar A. 11. Molina A. 9. Obolskiy N.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 21. Arroyo N. 22. Davila Y. 4. Farrando M. 14. Fullana F. 26. Herrera M. 12. Lopez A. 18. Naveira U. 33. Richarte R. 15. Ruiz V.	6. Alvarez J. 2. Arguelles D. 20. Arroyo R. 7. Camara S. 8. Fausto A. 10. Jamelli 15. Joseda 12. Monjonell E. 3. Olaortua I. 18. Omoigui C. 13. Sequeira P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Blanco C. 🟨,
30', Ruiz L. 🟨,
34', Eugeni 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Herrera C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Molina A. ↓, Omoigui C. ↑,
63', Molina D. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
72', Soko P. ↓, Jamelli ↑,
72', Olabe R. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
80', Ramos D. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
80', Herrera C. ↓, Davila Y. ↑,
84', Jimenez J. ↓, Fausto A. ↑,
84', Bobadilla P. ↓, Arguelles D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ibiza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ibiza will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.24	Córdoba - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Baleares - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	San Fernando - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Castellón - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	San Fernando - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.03.24	Ibiza - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ibiza - Algeciras	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Málaga - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Ibiza - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.24	Ibiza - San Fernando	3:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.03.19	Ibiza - San Fernando	1:1
14.10.18	San Fernando - Ibiza	2:0

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