Match Info

National League - Round 25

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aldershot Town		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.4
	1.92	3.75	3.35
	1.87	4.04	3.48	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.3
	1.9	3.54	3.44
	1.9	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.44)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	3.41 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
48.5%

Draw
24.6%

Wealdstone
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

25.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldershot Town's performance.

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wealdstone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldershot Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wealdstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Aldershot Town - Wealdstone Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aldershot will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Wealdstone will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldershot: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 15. Grogan C. 25. Nightingale W. 33. Inwood S. 42. Penney M. 19. Hill R. (C) 6. Widdrington T. 34. Tetek D. 10. Barrett J. 17. Henry J. 24. Warren C.	1. Baptiste D. (G) 7. Boldewijn E. 2. Cook J. (C) 5. Woodman D. 22. McAvoy C. 29. Tiensia J. 11. Hassan S. 23. Agyemang T. 4. Mussa O. 14. Obiero M. 20. Tshikuna N.
Substitutes
12. Anderson K. 36. Armitage W. 23. Ghandour H. 7. Hargreaves C. 11. Jones R. 16. Nash P. (G) 9. Thomas K.	16. Diarra M. 3. Georgiou A. 13. Johnson E. (G) 8. Kadji D. 19. Nkrumah D. 9. Olomola O. 32. Turner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Henry J. ⚽, Penney M. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Barrett J. ⚽, Tetek D. (A),
20', 2 - 1, McAvoy C. ⚽, Hassan S. (A),
22', Cook J. 🟨,
45', 3 - 1, Warren C. ⚽, Barrett J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Henry J. ↓, Hargreaves C. ↑,
60', Tetek D. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Hill R. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Mussa O. ↓, Turner S. ↑,
72', Hassan S. ↓, Olomola O. ↑,
75', Penney M. 🟨,
78', Agyemang T. 🟨,
86', Barrett J. ↓, Ghandour H. ↑,
89', McAvoy C. 🟨,
90', Penney M. ↓, Armitage W. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 3.

Recent performances by Aldershot have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wealdstone's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wealdstone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Aldershot Town - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.04%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
26.12.25	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
English National League Cup
23.12.25	Aldershot Town - West Ham United U21	1:5 ✺
English National League
20.12.25	Boston United - Aldershot Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Aldershot Town - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWLW
- Wealdstone
English National League
26.12.25	Wealdstone - Boreham Wood	0:4 ✺
21.12.25	Halifax Town - Wealdstone	2:2 ✺
16.12.25	Truro City - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Wealdstone - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Grimsby Town - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.03.25	Wealdstone - Aldershot Town	1:3
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	3:1
English National League
09.11.24	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	0:2
30.01.24	Wealdstone - Aldershot Town	3:3
26.08.23	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	3:1
18.04.23	Wealdstone - Aldershot Town	0:1
01.10.22	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	1:2

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