The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Halifax Town 68%
Draw 19.6%
Gateshead 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.4%
19.5%
13.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
18.4%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Halifax Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Gateshead aligns with the current prediction.
Halifax Town - Gateshead Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Grant T. (G) 2. Bardell M. 8. Flint W. 5. Hobson S. 3. Conte R. 24. McDermott T. 30. Johnson C. (C) 20. Trusty T. 17. Tollitt B. 27. Allen C. 9. Carty C.
12. Jameson P. (G) 3. Ferguson D. 28. Holgate H. 5. Lankshear A. (C) 4. Home J. 20. Fenton J. 8. Bowen S. 21. Spellman M. 25. McCalmont A. 7. Hiwula J. 29. Issaka F.
Substitutes
7. Bray O. 23. Crowe D. 11. Douglas C. 4. Hugill W. 1. Johnson S. (G) 22. Kawa D. 14. Morgan-Smith A.
23. Chadwick B. 32. Chapman H. 27. Eguaibor D. 2. Lavery T. 30. Leach R. 6. Robinson J. 19. Supyk L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Issaka F. ⚽, McCalmont A. (A),
29', Trusty T. 🟨,
32', McDermott T. ↓, Douglas C. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Conte R. ⚽, Tollitt B. (A),
65', 2 - 1, Carty C. ⚽, Douglas C. (A),
66', Allen C. ↓, Kawa D. ↑,
66', Carty C. ↓, Morgan-Smith A. ↑,
71', Bowen S. ↓, Chadwick B. ↑,
71', Issaka F. ↓, Supyk L. ↑,
79', Spellman M. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
83', Hiwula J. ↓, Eguaibor D. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Tollitt B. ⚽, Kawa D. (A),
90+1', Tollitt B. ↓, Bray O. ↑,
90+1', Trusty T. ↓, Hugill W. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 1, Conte R. ⚽, Kawa D. (A),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 24th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Halifax won 3.
Halifax has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gateshead is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The betting markets point to Halifax as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Halifax has recorded 8 wins, 11 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 32:20 (averaging 1.6:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Halifax against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 7 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).