The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aldershot Town 40.2%
Draw 26.3%
Yeovil Town 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
28.3%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
29.5%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Macaulay J. (G) 2. Efete M. 12. Stickland M. (C) 17. Dyce T. 18. Adom-Malaki N. 5. Oshilaja K. 6. Odusanya D. 4. Borgnis J. 23. Lawless C. 7. Abrahams T. 10. Tuma B.
1. Barker J. (G) 15. Gubbins J. (C) 12. Davies A. 4. Muller H. 3. Norville-Williams J. 6. Ayina L. 14. McGavin B. 10. Jones R. 25. Westbrooke Z. 19. Spasov S. 11. Daly J.
Substitutes
27. Alves J. 16. Matton J. 24. Oladunjoye E. 21. Peart B. 11. Sandah H. 19. Tenconi A. 20. Wyllie M.
22. Gould M. (G) 5. Kingdon J. 27. Lennon C. 8. McCormick L. 7. Obeng M. 20. Powell J. 16. Radcliffe B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Spasov S. ⚽, Westbrooke Z. (A),
18', Muller H. 🟨,
29', Ayina L. 🟥,
36', Borgnis J. ↓, Tenconi A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Odusanya D. 🟨,
54', Westbrooke Z. 🟨,
57', Spasov S. ↓, McCormick L. ↑,
62', Stickland M. 🟨,
64', Abrahams T. ↓, Peart B. ↑,
64', Dyce T. ↓, Sandah H. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Efete M. ⚽, Tenconi A. (A),
71', Lawless C. 🟨,
84', Tuma B. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
84', Jones R. ↓, Obeng M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 2.
Aldershot is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Yeovil has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Yeovil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Aldershot Town - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.3%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.