Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 36

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Aldosivi		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.5
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.87	3.25	4.2
	1.9	3.25	4.8
	2.03	3.12	3.97	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.2
	1.88	3.22	4.18
	1.87	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.16)	3.23 ↑ (2.8)	4.26 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
49.3%

Draw
28.8%

Defensores de Belgrano
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

33%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

31.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldosivi's performance.

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Aldosivi - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Sills J. 3. Guerrico I. 5. Pineiro G. 8. Larralde V. 7. Sosa A. 11. Torres E. 10. Alonso A. 9. Colazo A.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Mendoza G. 2. Massaccesi A. 6. De Tomasso J. 3. Sanchez F. 10. Gomez B. 5. Gutierrez I. 8. Laba M. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Gonzalez E.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Mayor C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Aguirre E. ⚽,
45+1', Pineiro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pineiro G. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
52', Alonso A. ↓, Lamendola N. ↑,
60', Guerrico I. 🟨,
63', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
65', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
66', Torres E. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
67', Gonzalez R. ↓, Guzman N. ↑,
75', Gomez B. ↓, Aquilino G. ↑,
75', Moyano P. ↓, Barbero M. ↑,
76', Aguirre E. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
76', Gonzalez E. ↓, Borsotti N. ↑,
83', Larralde V. ↓, Lujan S. ↑,
87', Barbero M. 🟨,
88', Sanchez F. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Aldosivi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aldosivi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aldosivi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.10.24	Club Almagro - Aldosivi	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Aldosivi - Brown de Adrogué	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Temperley - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Aldosivi - Deportivo Morón	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Nueva Chicago - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.05.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Aldosivi	0:2

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