The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores de Belgrano 60.4%
Draw 26.5%
Defensores Unidos 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
26.2%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
23.7%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
40%
10%
Defensores de Belgrano - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 19% – 81%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensores (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Defensores Unidos (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Gomez B. 2. Massaccesi A. 6. Segovia J. 3. Rodriguez F. 7. Villalba G. 5. Gutierrez I. 8. De Tomasso J. 10. Moyano P. 9. Tcherkaski F. 11. Gonzalez E.
1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Marchesini F. 6. Rassol F. 3. Olivera L. 8. Ortiz B. 5. Sanchez S. 11. Trinidad E. 7. Rocca J. 9. Toledo A. 10. Gimenez M.
Substitutes
16. Borsotti N. 14. Correa L. 12. Daus L. (G) 13. Gamarra G. 15. Laba M. 18. Pugliese G. 19. Rumbolo R. 17. Sanchez C. 20. Vecchio E.
20. Aguirre D. E. 16. Basualdo N. 15. Caballo M. 19. Ceratto L. 14. Ferreyra T. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 18. Juarez R. 13. Laumann F. 17. Patroni S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Tcherkaski F. ⚽, De Tomasso J. (A),
5', Gimenez M. 🟨,
26', Toledo A. 🟨,
33', Gutierrez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Tcherkaski F. ⚽,
50', Sanchez S. 🟨,
51', 3 - 0, Segovia J. ⚽,
54', Toledo A. ↓, Ceratto L. ↑,
54', Rassol F. ↓, Aguirre D. E. ↑,
58', Rocca J. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
66', Gutierrez I. ↓, Laba M. ↑,
71', Sanchez S. ↓, Caballo M. ↑,
71', Gimenez M. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
82', Gonzalez E. ↓, Vecchio E. ↑,
82', Moyano P. ↓, Rumbolo R. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Aguirre D. E. ⚽,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Defensores is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Defensores Unidos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Defensores Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Defensores is the obvious favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Argentina
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