Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 26

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Defensores de Belgrano		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.57	4.33
	2.15	2.65	3.90
	2.1	2.58	4.2	Watch
	2.23	2.6	4.71
	2.2	2.55	4.6	Watch
	2.18	2.5	4.25
	2.19	2.62	4.32	Watch
	2.1	2.6	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.15)	2.58 ↑ (2.57)	4.28 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
42.7%

Draw
35.7%

Almirante Brown
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

35.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

38.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Gomez B. 3. Rodriguez M. 5. Jerez Silva L. 2. De Tomasso J. 8. Gutierrez I. 6. Gigli L. 10. Benitez A. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 11. Gonzalez E. 9. Ardaiz J.	1. Galvan B. (G) 6. Cabral G. 5. Jara L. 4. Abreliano M. 2. Cardozo E. 7. Gonzalez R. 8. Villoldo T. 3. Alegre Rojas G. 10. Pascual L. 9. Zanotti M. 11. Santiago M.
Substitutes
15. Borsotti N. 17. Ciccolini L. 13. Gamarra G. 18. Garcia D. 16. Moyano P. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 14. Perez I. 19. Rodriguez L. 20. Tcherkaski F.	20. Almada T. 12. Bottini A. (G) 18. Flores G. 16. Ibanez J. 13. Levi M. 19. Lopez J. 17. Martinez E. 15. Velazquez J. 14. Velurtas P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', Villoldo T. ↓, Velurtas P. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Zanotti M. ⚽, Jara L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Ardaiz J. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
59', Benitez A. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,
62', Gonzalez R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
62', Zanotti M. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
70', Gutierrez I. ↓, Moyano P. ↑,
71', Jara L. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
71', Pascual L. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
76', Rodriguez M. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
76', Aguirre E. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
86', Gigli L. 🟨,
89', Flores G. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Santiago M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 4.

Defensores has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Almirante Brown has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almirante Brown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Defensores has had a series of away games.

In this match, Defensores is considered a favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Defensores de Belgrano - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.88%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Almirante Brown - the odds 4.32 are the expected chance of winning is 21.29%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	All Boys - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Godoy Cruz - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTTL
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.26	Tristán Suárez - Almirante Brown	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Almirante Brown - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Almirante Brown - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Mitre - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.26	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2
21.09.25	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2
06.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	1:1
23.09.24	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	3:0
04.05.24	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2
11.09.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	0:1
30.04.23	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0

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