Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Aldosivi		River Plate

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.45
	6.5	4.4	1.44
	7	4.25	1.44
	6.4	4.4	1.44
	6.96	4.69	1.47
	6.8	4.6	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.78 ↓ (7.18)	4.47 ↑ (4.39)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
13.9%

Draw
21.1%

River Plate
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

21.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

24.2%

74.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Aldosivi - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 28 and 13).

Aldosivi has the most likely position - 28 (42.63%), has project points - 22, has currently - 5, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

River Plate has the most likely position - 1 (36.8%), has project points - 51, has currently - 12, has a chance of win league (37%).

This event has quality 37, importance 42, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Aldosivi is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches River Plate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Diaz P. (Injury) Perez E. (Injury) Rojas R. (Injury) Suarez M. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.07.22	Colón - Aldosivi	1:1 ✺
15.07.22	Aldosivi - Atlético Tucumán	0:1 ✺
11.07.22	Defensa y Justicia - Aldosivi	3:2 ✺
04.07.22	Aldosivi - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
26.06.22	Racing - Aldosivi	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLWL
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.07.22	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
17.07.22	Vélez Sársfield - River Plate	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
13.07.22	Barracas Central - River Plate	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.07.22	River Plate - Godoy Cruz	0:2 ✺
03.07.22	Huracán Buenos Aires - River Plate	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.08.21	River Plate - Aldosivi	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	River Plate - Aldosivi	4:1

Upcoming Matches