Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		River Plate

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	3.4	Watch
	2.52	2.72	3.3	Watch
	2.58	2.83	3.46
	2.39	2.86	3.44	Watch
	2.5	2.77	3.26	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.39)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)	3.33 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
38.2%

Draw
33.5%

River Plate
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

33%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

33.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	53.8%	7.7%

Boca Juniors - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 3 - 37.5%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Boca Juniors (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 44.4%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 40. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 23. Blanco L. 5. Paredes L. (C) 43. Delgado M. 8. Carlos Palacios 7. Zeballos E. 9. Gimenez M. 16. Miguel Merentiel	1. Armani F. (C) 28. Martinez Quarta L. 13. Rivero L. 17. Diaz P. 4. Montiel G. 5. Portillo J. 22. Castano K. 8. Meza M. 21. Acuna M. 19. Driussi S. 7. Salas M.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 30. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 10. Cavani E. 4. Figal J. 21. Herrera A. 11. Janson L. 26. Pellegrino M. 22. Zenon K.	16. Bustos F. 20. Casco M. 26. Fernandez N. 23. Galarza M. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 30. Jaime C. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 18. Martinez P. 9. Miguel Borja 24. Perez E. 10. Quintero J. 38. Subiabre I.
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
33', Meza M. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Zeballos E. ⚽,
45+4', Acuna M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rivero L. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Zeballos E. (A),
52', Armani F. 🟨,
59', Castano K. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
59', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
63', Montiel G. 🟨,
70', Miguel Borja 🟨,
72', Galarza M. 🟨,
74', Carlos Palacios ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
78', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
79', Blanco L. 🟨,
85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
87', Paredes L. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
87', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Braida M. ↑,
90+6', Zeballos E. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.

Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

River Plate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Boca Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Inactive) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Fabra F. (Coach's decision) Velasco A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Driussi S. (Injury) Montiel G. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in River Plate: Colidio F. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.11.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.11.25	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
24.10.25	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.25	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Rosario Central - River Plate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.25	River Plate - Boca Juniors	2:1
21.09.24	Boca Juniors - River Plate	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.04.24	River Plate - Boca Juniors	2:3
25.02.24	River Plate - Boca Juniors	1:1
01.10.23	Boca Juniors - River Plate	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.05.23	River Plate - Boca Juniors	1:0
11.09.22	Boca Juniors - River Plate	1:0

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