Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, TNT Sports
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Colombia	ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	River Plate		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	7	Watch
	1.52	3.9	6.7	Watch
	1.56	3.97	7.23
	1.54	3.88	6.81
	1.5	3.7	6.5
	1.55	3.85	6.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	3.83 ↓ (4.1)	6.84 ↓ (6.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
61.7%

Draw
24.6%

Gimnasia La Plata
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.3%

27.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Beltran S. (G) 16. Bustos F. 28. Martinez Quarta L. (C) 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 6. Moreno A. 15. Fausto Vera 26. Galvan T. 39. Lencina S. 11. Colidio F. 9. Driussi S.	23. Insfran N. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 13. German Conti 4. Giampaoli R. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 16. Max A. 5. Miramon I. 10. Schelotto N. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 29. Auzmendi A. 32. Torres M.
Substitutes
1. Armani F. (G) 35. Freitas J. 36. Gimenez U. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 24. Meza J. 8. Meza M. 25. Pereyra L. 20. Pezzella G. 10. Quintero J. 7. Salas M. 44. Silva L. 18. Vina M.	33. Aguiar P. 31. Barros Schelotto B. 28. Bolzan C. 19. Castro L. 14. Errecalde G. 27. Kadijevic J. (G) 22. Melluso M. 7. Panaro M. 20. Perez J. 18. Seoane M. 26. Torres F. 43. Zalazar M.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Pereyra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Bustos F. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Driussi S. ⚽, Colidio F. (A),
33', Acuna M. ↓, Vina M. ↑,
41', Miramon I. 🟨,
44', Schelotto N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Schelotto N. ↓, Zalazar M. ↑,
60', Driussi S. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
60', Lencina S. ↓, Meza J. ↑,
62', Max A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Martinez Quarta L. ⚽, Freitas J. (A),
69', Max A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
75', Bustos F. ↓, Gimenez U. ↑,
75', Colidio F. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
81', Insfran N. 🟨,
83', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
83', Torres M. ↓, Panaro M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 3.

River Plate is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gimnasia La Plata is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gimnasia La Plata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, River Plate is the clear favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Armani F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Diaz P. (Inactive) Portillo J. (Knee Injury) Ramirez T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) Mammini I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in River Plate: Fausto Vera (Injury)

We predict that River Plate will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.26	River Plate - San Lorenzo	3:2 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.26	Carabobo - River Plate	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.04.26	River Plate - Aldosivi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.26	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.04.26	Acassuso - Gimnasia La Plata	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.01.26	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	2:0
02.11.25	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
18.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	0:3
17.08.24	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.03.24	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1
29.10.23	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.04.23	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	3:0

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