Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 16

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Alemannia Aachen		Düren

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	2	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.06	3.65	3.53
	2.07	3.35	3.53
	1.91	3.6	3.1
	1.97	3.6	3.4
	1.92	3.5	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	3.39 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
46.7%

Draw
26.1%

Düren
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Düren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Düren than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Alemannia Aachen - Düren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 4).

Aachen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Düren is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Düren could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aachen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aachen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aachen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
10.11.23	Alemannia Aachen - Wiedenbrück	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Bocholt - Alemannia Aachen	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Alemannia Aachen - Paderborn II	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- 1.FC Düren
German Regionalliga West
11.11.23	Bocholt - Düren	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Düren - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:3 ✺
27.10.23	Fortuna Köln - Düren	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Düren - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	5:0 ✺
14.10.23	Gütersloh - Düren	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
03.12.22	Düren - Alemannia Aachen	1:1
31.07.22	Alemannia Aachen - Düren	2:2

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