Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 13

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Alemannia Aachen		Paderborn II

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.7	4
	1.72	3.75	4.2
	1.69	3.94	4.55
	1.71	3.88	4.66
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.7	3.88	4.3
	1.72	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	3.88 ↓ (4.02)	4.47 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
55.5%

Draw
23.8%

Paderborn II
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

22.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Paderborn II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn II than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Alemannia Aachen - Paderborn II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 9).

Aachen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paderborn II is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paderborn II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aachen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aachen to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aachen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Aachen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
21.10.23	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Alemannia Aachen	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	4:1 ✺
06.10.23	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWTT
- SC Paderborn II
German Regionalliga West
25.10.23	Paderborn II - Köln II	3:1 ✺
20.10.23	Wegberg-Beeck - Paderborn II	3:2 ✺
07.10.23	Rödinghausen - Paderborn II	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Paderborn II - Schalke 04 II	2:2 ✺
22.09.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Paderborn II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.01.19	Alemannia Aachen - Paderborn II	4:0

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