Match Info

3. Liga - Round 38

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: New Tivoli (Aachen)

Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Alemannia Aachen		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	5.75	Watch
	1.36	5.3	6.3	Watch
	1.35	5.68	6.56
	1.37	5.35	6.32	Watch
	1.33	5	6
	1.32	5.25	6.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	5.26 ↑ (5.19)	6.26 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
68%

Draw
17.4%

TSV Havelse
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

17.9%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

16.9%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Alemannia Aachen - TSV Havelse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Riemann M. (G) 30. Winter N. 15. Hanraths M. (C) 2. Bagalianis P. 5. Strujic S. 8. Bahn B. 11. Loune M. 28. Wiebe D. 24. Oehmichen J. 23. Gindorf L. 27. Schroers M.	29. Quindt N. (G) 21. Behrens I. 6. Belkahia S. 15. Duah D. 8. Berger J. 22. Sommer L. 19. Boujellab N. 10. Duker J. (C) 33. Rexhepi A. 20. Schepp C. 14. Ilic M.
Substitutes
36. Ademi F. 44. Castelle N. H. 16. Pseftis F. (G) 20. Richter M. 7. Scepanik L. 42. Sillah O. 9. Sulejmani V. 17. Torsiello F. 3. Wagner M.	36. Awoyale T. 7. Aytun E. 35. Dlugaiczyk A. (G) 30. Friedrich T. 11. Jaeschke Y. 23. Muller R. 37. Ozdemir H. 9. Paldino L. 28. Rufidis J.
Coaches
Selimbegovic M.	Ferchichi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gindorf L. ⚽, Bahn B. (A),
9', Loune M. 🟨,
21', Behrens I. 🟨,
32', Berger J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Quindt N. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', Loune M. ↓, Ademi F. ↑,
46', Bagalianis P. ↓, Wagner M. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Schroers M. ⚽, Oehmichen J. (A),
52', 2 - 1, Ilic M. ⚽, Sommer L. (A),
54', 3 - 1, Gindorf L. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 4 - 1, Schroers M. ⚽, Bahn B. (A),
58', Winter N. ↓, Scepanik L. ↑,
61', Boujellab N. 🟨,
62', Schepp C. ↓, Paldino L. ↑,
62', Rexhepi A. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
70', Hanraths M. ↓, Torsiello F. ↑,
74', 5 - 1, Wiebe D. ⚽,
75', Boujellab N. ↓, Jaeschke Y. ↑,
83', Strujic S. ↓, Castelle N. H. ↑,
89', 6 - 1, Gindorf L. ⚽, Schroers M. (A),
90+1', Quindt N. ↓, Dlugaiczyk A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Havelse is Relegated to

Aachen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Havelse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Aachen is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Aachen will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Alemannia Aachen: 6.33% TSV Havelse: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11:8	3	11
20	TSV Havelse	8	1	1	6	10:20	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
10.05.26	Viktoria Köln - Alemannia Aachen	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Alemannia Aachen - Hansa Rostock	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Alemannia Aachen - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Jahn Regensburg - Alemannia Aachen	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Alemannia Aachen - VfB Stuttgart II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWWW
- TSV Havelse
German 3 Bundesliga
10.05.26	TSV Havelse - Schweinfurt	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Verl - TSV Havelse	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	TSV Havelse - VfB Stuttgart II	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Ulm 1846 - TSV Havelse	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	TSV Havelse - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.25	TSV Havelse - Alemannia Aachen	1:1

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