Match Info

3. Liga - Round 2

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	Sportklub


	Ulm 1846		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.5
	2.08	3.5	3.15	Watch
	2.21	3.55	3.31
	2.19	3.51	2.99	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	2.09	3.48	3.17	Watch
	2.06	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.9)	3.48 ↓ (3.85)	3.2 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
44.5%

Draw
26.6%

Erzgebirge Aue
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.5%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulm 1846's form might have worsened.

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Aue will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 34. Boller J. 21. Seegert M. 27. Mazagg L. 28. Scholze M. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 32. Kolle N. 11. Chessa D. 9. Roser L. 49. Becker A.	36. Uhlig M. (G) 23. Barylla A. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 17. Fallmann P. 20. Fabisch J. 11. Uhlmann E. 30. Seiffert M. 24. Ehlers J. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 34. Stefaniak M.
Substitutes
17. Besong P. 44. Castelle N. H. 24. Crnovrsanin S. 22. Kahvic A. 25. Loder E. 19. Meier J. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 6. Wenig M. 8. Westermeier B.	8. Clausen M. 27. Hetzsch F. 18. Kallenbach W. 22. Lord L. (G) 13. Majetschak E. 12. Schimkus L. 37. Seidel P. 5. Simnica L. 7. Weinhauer E.
Coaches
Lechleiter R.	Hartel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Seegert M. 🟨,
26', Uhlig M. ↓, Lord L. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Scholze M. ⚽, Kolle N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ehlers J. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
46', Fallmann P. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
52', Roser L. 🟨,
60', Roser L. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
78', Seegert M. ↓, Crnovrsanin S. ↑,
79', Becker A. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
79', Chessa D. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
79', Dressel D. 🟨,
84', Fabisch J. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
84', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Majetschak E. ↑,
89', Brandt M. ↓, Wenig M. ↑,

Preview

Ulm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ulm might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulm won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
03.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Ulm 1846 - Zürich	3:0 ✺
02.07.25	Ulm 1846 - Bayern Munich II	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
18.05.25	Ulm 1846 - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWLT
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
03.08.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3 ✺
11.07.25	Bayreuth - Erzgebirge Aue	2:4 ✺
05.07.25	Glenavon - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
17.05.25	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.03.24	Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2
22.10.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846	1:2
German DFB Pokal
12.09.20	Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0

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