Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ulm 1846		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.3
	3.15	3.2	2.38	Watch
	3.17	3.35	2.37
	2.94	3.53	2.20	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.3
	3.07	3.26	2.38	Watch
	3	3.4	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.86)	3.33 ↓ (3.49)	2.32 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
31.1%

Draw
28.3%

Elversberg
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

26.8%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Ulm 1846 - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elversberg will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Ortag C. (G) 34. Boller J. 21. Seegert M. 27. Mazagg L. 28. Scholze M. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. 19. Meier J. 11. Chessa D. 22. Kahvic A. 9. Roser L.	20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 3. Le Joncour F. 21. Gunther L. 6. Conde A. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 22. Ebnoutalib Y.
Substitutes
49. Becker A. 17. Besong P. 44. Castelle N. H. 15. David J. 32. Kolle N. 25. Loder E. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 6. Wenig M. 8. Westermeier B.	28. Boss T. (G) 11. Ceka J. 7. Feil M. 43. Keidel F. 2. Mickelson N. 31. Rohr M. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 23. Sickinger C.
Coaches
Lechleiter R.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Conde A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Conde A. ↓, Sickinger C. ↑,
63', Gunther L. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
63', Poreba L. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
69', Meier J. ↓, Kolle N. ↑,
69', Kahvic A. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
71', Besong P. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Keidel F. ⚽,
77', Roser L. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
77', Chessa D. ↓, Castelle N. H. ↑,
83', Mazagg L. 🟨,
84', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
87', Seegert M. ↓, Wenig M. ↑,
90+2', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Feil M. ↑,
90+4', Boller J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 3.

Ulm has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elversberg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ulm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulm won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Ulm 1846 - Zürich	3:0 ✺
02.07.25	Ulm 1846 - Bayern Munich II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTWL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Bochum - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Elversberg - Nürnberg	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.25	Homburg - Elversberg	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	Hoffenheim - Elversberg	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
22.02.25	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	0:0
22.09.24	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	1:3
German Regionalliga Sudwest
12.12.21	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	1:0
24.08.21	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	4:2
06.02.21	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	0:2
05.09.20	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	2:0
30.11.19	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	1:0

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