Match Info

3. Liga - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena (Duisburg)

Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Duisburg		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.8
	2.32	3.35	2.82
	2.35	3.55	3.04
	2.13	3.24	3.37	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.29	3.32	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.19)	3.38 ↑ (3.38)	2.94 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duisburg
40.8%

Draw
27.6%

Ulm 1846
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Duisburg - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Duisburg will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 6. Bulic R. 18. Meuer S. 25. Borkowski D. 10. Viet C. 37. Sussek P. 9. Heike T.	39. Ortag C. (G) 34. Boller J. 21. Seegert M. 15. David J. 28. Scholze M. 23. Brandt M. 14. Dressel D. (C) 32. Kolle N. 11. Chessa D. 9. Roser L. 25. Loder E.
Substitutes
28. Egerer F. 17. Gockan M. 20. Jessen N. 14. Noss C. 24. Paris J. (G) 40. Schlicke B. 23. Symalla J. 22. Topken T. 33. Tugbenyo J.	49. Becker A. 17. Besong P. 2. Gorlich L. 22. Kahvic A. 27. Mazagg L. 19. Meier J. 1. Schmitt M. (G) 6. Wenig M. 8. Westermeier B.
Coaches
Hirsch D.	Lechleiter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Hahn A. ⚽, Viet C. (A),
25', Borkowski D. 🟨,
29', Kolle N. ↓, Wenig M. ↑,
41', Chessa D. 🟨,
42', Bulic R. 🟨,
45+2', Borkowski D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Boller J. ↓, Meier J. ↑,
46', Chessa D. ↓, Becker A. ↑,
61', Heike T. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
65', Roser L. ↓, Besong P. ↑,
73', Viet C. ↓, Symalla J. ↑,
73', Sussek P. ↓, Tugbenyo J. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Loder E. ⚽, Becker A. (A),
82', Meuer S. ↓, Noss C. ↑,
82', Coskun C. ↓, Gockan M. ↑,
90+2', Dressel D. 🟨,
90+2', Loder E. ↓, Westermeier B. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Topken T. ⚽, Symalla J. (A),
90+6', Braune M. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Ulm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Duisburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Duisburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
02.08.25	Duisburg - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Homberg - Duisburg	1:5 ✺
02.07.25	Hibernian - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
German Regionalliga West
17.05.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWTW
- Ulm 1846
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Karlsruher - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Ulm 1846 - Zürich	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.01.24	Ulm 1846 - Duisburg	2:2
25.08.23	Duisburg - Ulm 1846	1:1

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