Match Info

3. Liga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: New Tivoli (Aachen)

Referee: Uhrig B. H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	Sifir
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Alemannia Aachen		Jahn Regensburg

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.75	3.50	Watch
	1.82	3.90	3.75
	1.71	3.95	4.00	Watch
	1.86	3.85	4.01
	1.79	4.04	3.78	Watch
	1.83	3.75	3.95
	1.86	3.88	3.63	Watch
	1.84	3.80	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)	3.87 ↓ (4.4)	3.79 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
51.3%

Draw
24.1%

Jahn Regensburg
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

21.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

20.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alemannia Aachen's form might have worsened.

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alemannia Aachen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Alemannia Aachen - Jahn Regensburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bajic S. (G) 37. Kiala J. 21. Jung G. 2. Bagkalianis P. 7. Scepanik L. 28. Wiebe D. (C) 10. Loune M. 3. Wagner M. 8. Koster L. 44. Oehmichen J. 27. Schroers M.	1. Hermann H. (G) 26. Bauer B. 4. Strauss F. (C) 37. Wurm L. 7. Schonfelder O. 13. Majetschak E. 35. Hingerl S. 44. Karbstein M. 29. Fein A. 8. Philipp D. 27. Hermes L.
Substitutes
19. Bitumazala N. 20. Ermolaev G. 18. Izekor K. 29. Koscierski K. 4. Leonard D. 1. Riemann M. (G) 9. Starodid D. 30. von der Hitz J. 11. Waschenbach M.	10. Boujellab N. 42. Dizdarevic A. 34. Hobsch P. 21. Jano Z. 31. Matzler L. 25. Oliveira N. 20. Posselt J. 23. Schmitt M. (G) 40. Seibold J.
Coaches
Selimbegovic M.	Hildmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Schroers M. ⚽, Koster L. (A),
20', Wurm L. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Koster L. ⚽, Wagner M. (A),
33', Wiebe D. ↓, von der Hitz J. ↑,
38', 2 - 1, Hermes L. ⚽,
42', Strauss F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bauer B. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
46', Fein A. ↓, Matzler L. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Hingerl S. ⚽,
68', Philipp D. ↓, Boujellab N. ↑,
69', Oehmichen J. 🟨,
77', Wagner M. ↓, Ermolaev G. ↑,
77', Koster L. ↓, Koscierski K. ↑,
78', Loune M. 🟨,
78', Karbstein M. ↓, Seibold J. ↑,
81', Majetschak E. 🟨,
84', Boujellab N. 🟨,
85', Hingerl S. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
89', Bagkalianis P. 🟨,
90+1', Schroers M. ↓, Starodid D. ↑,
90+1', von der Hitz J. ↓, Izekor K. ↑,
90+3', Koscierski K. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aachen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aachen is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aachen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alemannia Aachen	7	3	2	2	11:8	3	11
13	Regensburg	8	2	2	4	18:17	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
04.09.26	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Alemannia Aachen - Meppen	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Alemannia Aachen - Eintracht Trier	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTWL
- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
05.09.26	Jahn Regensburg - Duisburg	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hoffenheim II - Jahn Regensburg	5:1 ✺
16.08.26	Jahn Regensburg - Saarbrücken	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Viktoria Köln - Jahn Regensburg	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.04.26	Jahn Regensburg - Alemannia Aachen	1:3
22.11.25	Alemannia Aachen - Jahn Regensburg	0:2

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