Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Alessandria		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.85
	2.55	3.05	2.88	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.8
	2.68	3.1	3.01
	2.62	3.1	2.75
	2.58	3.2	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.86 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
36.7%

Draw
30.5%

Ascoli
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

21.2%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Alessandria have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ascoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandria - Ascoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Alessandria has the most likely position - 20 (17.15%), has project points - 37, has currently - 0, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ascoli has the most likely position - 11 (7.41%), has project points - 50, has currently - 9, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Alessandria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ascoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
18.09.21	Lecce - Alessandria	3:2 ✺
11.09.21	Alessandria - Brescia	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.21	Alessandria - Genoa	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
27.08.21	Pisa - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
22.08.21	Benevento - Alessandria	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWLL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.09.21	Ascoli - Benevento	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Como - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Perugia - Ascoli	2:3 ✺
22.08.21	Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.08.21	Udinese - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL

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