The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lecce 63.1%
Draw 22.7%
Alessandria 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
23.8%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
14.3%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-26.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lecce that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
14.3%
10.7%
Lecce - Alessandria Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Alessandria will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 59% – 91%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Lecce has the most likely position - 6 (7.13%), has project points - 54, has currently - 2, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 20 (16.79%), has project points - 38, has currently - 0, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Lecce is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alessandria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alessandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Lecce have a series of guest games.
In this match Lecce is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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