Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 36

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ascoli		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	3.3	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3.3
	2.35	2.95	3.3	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.63
	2.39	2.95	3.63
	2.38	3	3.1
	2.29	3.08	3.45	Watch
	2.28	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.44)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	3.39 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
40.2%

Draw
31.8%

Nuova Cosenza
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

31.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

32.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Ascoli aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	66.7%	13.3%

Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Cosenza will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 16. Vaisanen S. 33. Botteghin E. 3. Mantovani V. 23. Falzerano M. 73. Masini P. 18. Di Tacchio F. 10. Caligara F. 7. Zedadka K. 29. Duris D. 30. Nestorovski I.	77. Marson L. (G) 6. Fontanarosa A. 5. Camporese M. 13. Meroni A. 7. Marras M. 42. Voca I. 14. Calo G. 16. Antonucci M. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 9. Tutino G. 10. Forte F.
Substitutes
17. Adjapong C. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 13. Celia R. 15. D'Uffizi S. 8. Giovane S. 14. Quaranta D. 99. Rodriguez P. 11. Streng J. 19. Tarantino J. 44. Tavcar A. 41. Valzania L. 2. Viviano E. (G)	31. Canotto L. 22. Castelnuovo M. (G) 17. Cimino B. 19. Crespi V. 34. Florenzi A. 99. Frabotta G. 18. Gyamfi B. 12. Lai A. (G) 30. Mazzocchi S. 26. Praszelik M. 24. Viviani M. 98. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Carrera M.	Viali W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Tutino G. ⚽, D'Orazio T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Falzerano M. 🟨,
59', Nestorovski I. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
59', Duris D. ↓, Tarantino J. ↑,
68', Voca I. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
68', D'Orazio T. ↓, Frabotta G. ↑,
68', Forte F. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
69', Mantovani V. 🟨,
74', Calo G. 🟨,
74', Camporese M. 🟨,
74', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
75', Caligara F. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
78', Zuccon F. 🟨,
79', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
80', Tutino G. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
82', Falzerano M. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
82', Vaisanen S. ↓, Streng J. ↑,
84', Meroni A. 🟨,
85', Tutino G. 🟨,
87', Antonucci M. ↓, Cimino B. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ascoli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.04.24	Ternana - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ascoli - Modena	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Cittadella - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ascoli - Venezia	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Spezia - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTTL
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
27.04.24	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	4:1 ✺
19.04.24	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	0:4 ✺
13.04.24	Nuova Cosenza - Palermo	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	FeralpiSalò - Nuova Cosenza	2:2 ✺
01.04.24	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.08.23	Nuova Cosenza - Ascoli	3:0
13.05.23	Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
18.12.22	Nuova Cosenza - Ascoli	1:3
22.01.22	Nuova Cosenza - Ascoli	1:3
22.08.21	Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
02.04.21	Nuova Cosenza - Ascoli	2:1
15.12.20	Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza	0:3

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