Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 29

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pergolettese		Alessandria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3	4.1
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.92	3	3.96
	1.93	3.09	4.62
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.84	3.1	4.33
	1.87	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.59)	3.05 ↓ (3.6)	4.23 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
48.5%

Draw
30%

Alessandria
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

17.8%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pergolettese's form might have worsened.

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pergolettese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Pergolettese - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Soncin M. (G) 2. Tonoli D. 4. Arini M. 35. Piccinini S. 7. Bariti D. 10. Mazzarani A. 18. Artioli F. 6. Andreoli L. 13. Felicioli G. 9. Piu A. 11. Guiu B.	33. Spurio A. (G) 6. Soler I. 8. Rota A. 17. Gega E. 18. Pellegrini L. 66. Sepe A. 4. Nichetti M. 24. Mastalli A. 21. Nunzella L. 9. Siafa O. 20. Femia N.
Substitutes
30. Bignami R. 77. Bozzuto R. 70. Caia F. 1. Cattaneo M. (G) 8. Cerasani J. 91. De Luca G. 12. Doldi F. (G) 5. Figoli M. 80. Jaouhari Z. 3. Lambrughi A. 14. Sartori G.	31. Busatto T. 5. Cusumano F. 1. Farroni A. (G) 32. Fiumano F. 7. Gazoul M. 29. Laukzemis K. 26. Mame Ass N. 79. Mangni D. 16. Parrinello T. 14. Pellitteri A. 3. Rossi E. 99. Samele L.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 1.

Recent matches Pergolettese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alessandria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pergolettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pergolettese is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
24.02.24	Pergolettese - Pro Vercelli	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Trento - Pergolettese	1:3 ✺
14.02.24	Pergolettese - Fiorenzuola	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Pergolettese - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLL
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
24.02.24	Alessandria - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
21.02.24	Pro Sesto - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Atalanta U23 - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Alessandria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lumezzane - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	3:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.21	Alessandria - Pergolettese	1:0
23.12.20	Pergolettese - Alessandria	0:1
08.12.19	Pergolettese - Alessandria	2:1
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
05.01.14	Alessandria - Pergolettese	3:1
01.09.13	Pergolettese - Alessandria	1:1

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